Friday, February 25, 2011

Rare earth elements (REEs) - demand side remedies

The Japanese government is planning to spend Y166 billion on 160 projects to reduce the companies reliance on Chinese rare earths, as well as to advance certain global projects which in the long run would reduce its reliance upon China as a supplier of rare earths.
The biggest beneficiary of China's curtailment of rare earth exports is Lynas Corporation, the ASX-listed company. If I was a Chinese regulator, I would be investigating the share register of Lynas Corporation to see if there are any Chinese shareholders engaging in insider trading, as its so easy to profit by trading in a third-party jurisdiction from actions taken in another. This is why regulation is mere rhetoric. The auhorities are so far behind the times. I laugh when the authorities were monitoring share trading of executives on the main exchanges, whilst people were no doubt trading in 'derivative exchanges', i.e. Contracts for difference. One does not even have to trade the exact same security, just a security which is related to it. i.e. Rare earths is to Lynas what the 3mths platinum contract is to the spot platinum price. Just find a causal correlation and you can profit.

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Gold prices set for another rally - Feb 2011

The start of a mighty rally is about to unfold. The following charts show on a short term scale that gold has broken a recent short term high to achieve a new high, and that it has in fact changed trend. The 2nd chart shows the long term trend, with the prospects for a rally up to around $1,800/oz expected over the next 12 months.
We will be looking for gold to rally to the previous highs around $1425/oz.
Visit our speculator's blog for the best entries into exploration stocks, since this end of the market is the most undervalued, and stands the best chance of benefiting from resource upside, takeover activity, revaluation of resources, increases in gold prices, including the opportunity to lock in high priced gold hedges.

Author Andrew Sheldon

Commodities taking a lead - gold and copper

I am about to go out hiking, however I note that gold is breaking out into a new uptrend. We have also seen copper prices reach new highs of $4.63/lb. These are what we might regard as the post-Xmas commodity-equity market rush of blood that we like so much. Charts to come later. Its a beautiful day!