Gold testing resistance at $US730/oz

The gold price has rallied up to the $US730/oz resistance as expected. This is the last hurdle before we see alot of upside. Given the speed of the rally it would not surprise me to see gold fall back to $694-700/oz level. This was previous resistance and would make a strong support. But by no means is the gold bull over. In fact it would not surprise me if gold rallied on from here. As always - its prudent to look to the charts for guidance at this critical junctures - at least for market entry and exit.

So as we can see from the chart, gold is currently at $733/oz. Thats its previous high set back in May-07. Lets see what the market action shows over Monday and Tuesday. I'm could go higher because it closed the week off a high point. But there is the possibility of a stronger USD if the European Central Bank shows an indication that it wil also lower interest rates. Since central banks are mandated to set policy rates that will sustain economic growth, you can bet that they will making early statements to prevent the Euro from trading too high. So that might be a short term factor driving gold down in the short term. But thats merely a USD-denomination issue - weaker nominal rates and higher 'real' inflation (not the CPI nonsense figures) highlight the fundamental upside for gold.