Monday, October 06, 2008

Platinum prices reach a low?

Platinum is of course a precious metal, so its in the same category as gold when it comes to the 'safe havens' of investment. It does have some interesting differences compared to gold though. These are:
1. Small stockpile compared to the vast hoards of gold
2. The greater industrial utility of platinum (arguably)
3. Greater volatility, smaller market, greater liquidity

We need to remember that platinum has performed far better than gold, and as a speculative instrument platinum was bound to be sold off. Car manufacturers would be cutting back of their needs for catalyst materials, so precipitating the price fall. The asset collapse is scaring people. But I suspect we are very close to a turn-around in this metal, and therefore platinum stocks. This metal might even do better than gold. The metal is already back to $950/oz. It has broken its uptrend, so we would be looking for a support. It might be $650/oz. Hard to believe many producers in South Africa could be profitable at those prices given the escalation in mining costs.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

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